Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

MLS - May 2, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
San Jose Earthquakes44.9%115
BetMGM		C
Toronto FC28.9%240
Ceasers		B
Draw26.2%270
Fanduel		C
Ligue 1 - France - May 3, 2026 10:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Strasbourg40.1%140
Fanatics		C
Toulouse33.4%185
Fanduel		C
Draw26.5%275
Lowvig		B
EPL - May 4, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Everton14.9%590
Lowvig		A
Manchester City65.8%-210
BetMGM		C
Draw19.3%428
Lowvig		A
MMA - May 2, 2026 3:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colby Thicknesse54.3%-130
Ceasers		F
Vince Morales45.7%115
Betonline.ag		C
MLS - May 2, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nashville SC33.1%200
Ceasers		B
Philadelphia Union38.5%151
Lowvig		C
Draw28.5%245
BetRivers		C
MLS - May 2, 2026 7:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Rapids23.1%325
Lowvig		B
Houston Dynamo52.7%-120
Fanatics		C
Draw24.1%300
Lowvig		C
MMA - May 2, 2026 8:15 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carlos Prates52.0%-119
Betonline.ag		F
Jack Della Maddalena48.0%100
DraftKings		F
MLS - May 3, 2026 4:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Austin FC37.1%160
Lowvig		C
St. Louis City SC35.3%180
BetRivers		B
Draw27.5%250
Fanduel		C
MLS - May 2, 2026 3:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Portland Timbers17.1%500
Lowvig		A
Real Salt Lake61.8%-175
BetMGM		C
Draw21.1%360
Fanduel		C
Ligue 1 - France - May 2, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
AS Monaco66.6%-225
BetMGM		F
Metz14.9%600
Lowvig		A
Draw18.5%425
Fanatics		C

Upcoming Events Today:

MLB - Apr 28, 2026 5:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cleveland Guardians55.1%-128
Betonline.ag		C
Tampa Bay Rays44.9%118
BetMGM		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 5:36 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baltimore Orioles55.6%-130
BetRivers		C
Houston Astros44.4%120
Lowvig		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Pittsburgh Pirates58.9%-150
BetMGM		C
St. Louis Cardinals41.1%138
Fanduel		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Reds64.5%-200
BetMGM		F
Colorado Rockies35.5%175
BetRivers		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 5:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Philadelphia Phillies60.1%-159
BetRivers		C
San Francisco Giants39.9%145
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 6:08 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Red Sox48.1%107
BetRivers		B
Toronto Blue Jays51.9%-111
BetUS		C
NBA - Apr 28, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Celtics81.4%-542
Lowvig		F
Philadelphia 76ers18.6%430
BetRivers		B
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 6:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Mets62.5%-175
BetMGM		C
Washington Nationals37.5%162
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 6:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Braves53.0%-118
Betonline.ag		C
Detroit Tigers47.0%108
BetUS		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 6:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago White Sox43.8%123
Betonline.ag		C
Los Angeles Angels56.2%-136
Betonline.ag		C
NHL - Apr 28, 2026 6:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Bruins39.9%145
BetRivers		C
Buffalo Sabres60.1%-160
BetUS		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 6:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Diamondbacks49.2%-102
DraftKings		C
Milwaukee Brewers50.8%-105
BetMGM		B
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 6:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Minnesota Twins46.2%112
BetRivers		C
Seattle Mariners53.8%-121
Lowvig		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 7:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Yankees52.6%-117
Betonline.ag		C
Texas Rangers47.4%107
BetUS		C
NHL - Apr 28, 2026 7:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Stars54.0%-125
BetUS		C
Minnesota Wild46.0%111
Lowvig		C
NBA - Apr 28, 2026 7:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Hawks31.0%215
Fanduel		C
New York Knicks69.0%-250
BetMGM		F
NBA - Apr 28, 2026 8:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Portland Trail Blazers16.5%502
Lowvig		B
San Antonio Spurs83.5%-600
Fanduel		F
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 8:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Athletics48.2%105
BetUS		C
Kansas City Royals51.8%-114
Bovada		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 8:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Cubs52.3%-115
Betonline.ag		C
San Diego Padres47.7%107
BetUS		C
NHL - Apr 28, 2026 9:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Anaheim Ducks39.7%145
DraftKings		C
Edmonton Oilers60.3%-164
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Apr 28, 2026 9:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Dodgers71.9%-280
Betonline.ag		C
Miami Marlins28.1%250
Bovada		B