Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

MLS - Aug 22, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Orlando City SC49.2%-105
Lowvig		F
Real Salt Lake28.0%255
BetRivers		B
Draw22.8%330
Fanatics		B
EPL - Aug 22, 2026 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Hull City11.6%800
Fanduel		A
Manchester United69.0%-252
Betonline.ag		F
Draw19.4%400
DraftKings		C
EPL - Aug 21, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arsenal80.8%-550
BetUS		F
Coventry City6.2%1700
BetRivers		A
Draw13.0%695
Betonline.ag		A
MMA - Aug 22, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Sabrinna de Sousa38.3%158
Fanduel		B
Taila Santos61.7%-175
Betonline.ag		C
Ligue 1 - France - Aug 22, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lyon39.8%143
Lowvig		C
Toulouse33.0%192
Lowvig		C
Draw27.2%256
Lowvig		C
MMA - Aug 22, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Marcirley Alves da Silva66.3%-240
Betonline.ag		F
Nkosi Ndebele33.7%190
Fanduel		C
MMA - Aug 22, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Daniel Marcos60.7%-180
Betonline.ag		F
Magomed Magomedov39.3%140
Betonline.ag		F
EPL - Aug 23, 2026 10:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Liverpool49.7%-105
DraftKings		C
Newcastle United25.8%300
BetUS		A+
Draw24.5%300
Fanatics		B
Championship - Aug 22, 2026 6:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Lincoln City38.7%149
Betonline.ag		C
Portsmouth33.0%190
Fanduel		C
Draw28.2%245
DraftKings		C
MLS - Aug 22, 2026 7:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Austin FC29.9%224
Lowvig		C
Philadelphia Union44.6%123
BetRivers		B
Draw25.5%280
Fanatics		C

Upcoming Events Today:

MLB - Aug 20, 2026 1:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Braves49.8%-101
Lowvig		B
Chicago White Sox50.2%-103
BetRivers		C
MLB - Aug 20, 2026 1:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Athletics44.6%121
Lowvig		C
Kansas City Royals55.4%-128
Fanduel		C
MLB - Aug 20, 2026 1:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Milwaukee Brewers57.2%-138
Fanduel		C
Seattle Mariners42.8%131
DraftKings		B
MLB - Aug 20, 2026 5:36 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baltimore Orioles49.3%101
Ceasers		B
New York Yankees50.7%-105
Lowvig		C
WNBA - Aug 20, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Wings39.8%150
BetMGM		B
Indiana Fever60.2%-145
Bovada		A+
MLB - Aug 20, 2026 7:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Texas Rangers61.1%-163
Betonline.ag		C
Washington Nationals38.9%158
Fanduel		A-
MLB - Aug 20, 2026 7:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Houston Astros62.6%-176
DraftKings		C
Los Angeles Angels37.4%165
Ceasers		B
WNBA - Aug 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Connecticut Sun11.8%800
BetMGM		A
Las Vegas Aces88.2%-910
BetRivers		C
WNBA - Aug 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Dream75.8%-350
Fanduel		F
Los Angeles Sparks24.2%310
Ceasers		B