Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
DR Congo56.6%-144
Betonline.ag		F
Uzbekistan18.7%440
Betonline.ag		A-
Draw24.6%300
BetUS		B
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Algeria24.9%295
Betonline.ag		B
Austria28.7%255
Bovada		A
Draw46.5%110
Fanatics		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane50.0%-110
Betonline.ag		F
Tom Aspinall50.0%-110
Betonline.ag		F
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
England83.2%-620
Betonline.ag		F
Panama5.8%1800
BetRivers		A
Draw11.0%800
Betonline.ag		B
FIFA World Cup - Jul 1, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Bosnia & Herzegovina 11.3%800
Fanduel		A-
USA68.8%-250
BetMGM		F
Draw19.9%400
BetUS		B
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colombia26.7%268
Betonline.ag		B
Portugal48.3%100
BetMGM		C
Draw25.0%298
Betonline.ag		B
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Croatia50.1%-106
Betonline.ag		C
Ghana18.7%430
BetUS		B
Draw31.1%215
Betonline.ag		C
FIFA World Cup - Jun 30, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
France73.9%-330
DraftKings		F
Sweden9.4%1050
Betonline.ag		A
Draw16.7%490
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 12:55 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Callum Haughian48.3%-102
Betonline.ag		F
Cameron Stewart51.7%-118
Betonline.ag		F
FIFA World Cup - Jul 3, 2026 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Australia29.3%235
BetRivers		C
Egypt38.5%152
BetUS		C
Draw32.2%201
BetUS		C

Upcoming Events Today:

MMA - Jun 27, 2026 11:45 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brunno Ferreira30.7%225
Ceasers		B
Ikram Aliskerov69.3%-245
Bovada		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Andrea Kabali58.8%-155
Betonline.ag		C
Stephen Costello41.2%135
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Giovanni Fernandez19.1%400
Betonline.ag		C
Paddy Rutledge80.9%-550
Betonline.ag		F
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 12:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Tigers55.3%-130
Fanatics		C
Houston Astros44.7%120
BetUS		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 12:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Red Sox48.3%102
DraftKings		C
New York Yankees51.7%-110
Lowvig		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 12:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Asu Almabaev73.0%-290
Fanduel		C
Charles Johnson27.0%265
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 12:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Matheus Camilo38.2%155
Ceasers		C
Nazim Sadykhov61.8%-170
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 12:55 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Callum Haughian48.3%-102
Betonline.ag		F
Cameron Stewart51.7%-118
Betonline.ag		F
WNBA - Jun 27, 2026 1:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Phoenix Mercury34.5%194
Fanduel		A
Toronto Tempo65.5%-200
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 1:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ieuan Mackenzie55.8%-138
Betonline.ag		F
Kadeem Perkins44.2%118
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 1:15 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Michel Pereira23.2%320
DraftKings		C
Shara Magomedov76.8%-400
BetUS		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 1:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jordan Vucenic94.3%-4000
Betonline.ag		F
Nonato Junior5.7%1600
Betonline.ag		B
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 1:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Luan Duarte14.8%550
Betonline.ag		C
Tariq Pell85.2%-800
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 1:45 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manuel Torres50.6%-108
Fanduel		C
Rafael Fiziev49.4%-105
Ceasers		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 2:05 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manuel Del Valle78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Dubois21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 2:08 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Texas Rangers37.6%164
Lowvig		B
Toronto Blue Jays62.4%-178
MyBookie		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 2:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ollie Sarwa84.0%-700
Betonline.ag		F
Pietro Mochetti16.0%500
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 3:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Reds52.1%-116
Betonline.ag		C
Pittsburgh Pirates47.9%106
BetUS		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 3:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Mets54.4%-125
BetUS		C
Philadelphia Phillies45.6%116
Lowvig		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 3:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago White Sox52.9%-118
Lowvig		C
Kansas City Royals47.1%109
BetUS		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 3:20 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Aiden Lee31.1%210
Betonline.ag		C
Nik Bagley68.9%-250
Betonline.ag		F
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Croatia50.1%-106
Betonline.ag		C
Ghana18.7%430
BetUS		B
Draw31.1%215
Betonline.ag		C
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 4:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
England83.2%-620
Betonline.ag		F
Panama5.8%1800
BetRivers		A
Draw11.0%800
Betonline.ag		B
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 5:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Diamondbacks43.6%128
BetRivers		B
Tampa Bay Rays56.4%-137
MyBookie		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cobey Fehr88.3%-1000
Betonline.ag		F
Daniel Bzdigian11.7%750
Fanduel		B
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 6:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Justin Wetzell24.1%300
Fanduel		C
Sarvarjon Hamidov75.9%-375
Fanduel		F
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 6:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Baltimore Orioles50.6%-106
Lowvig		C
Washington Nationals49.4%-101
BetUS		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 6:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Cubs40.7%140
BetMGM		C
Milwaukee Brewers59.3%-149
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 6:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cleveland Guardians42.9%127
Betonline.ag		C
Seattle Mariners57.1%-138
BetUS		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 6:11 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colorado Rockies43.5%125
BetRivers		C
Minnesota Twins56.5%-136
BetUS		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 6:16 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami Marlins44.0%123
Betonline.ag		C
St. Louis Cardinals56.0%-136
Betonline.ag		C
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Colombia26.7%268
Betonline.ag		B
Portugal48.3%100
BetMGM		C
Draw25.0%298
Betonline.ag		B
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 6:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
DR Congo56.6%-144
Betonline.ag		F
Uzbekistan18.7%440
Betonline.ag		A-
Draw24.6%300
BetUS		B
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 6:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ilara Joanne28.0%245
Betonline.ag		C
Shannon Clark72.0%-290
Betonline.ag		F
WNBA - Jun 27, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Indiana Fever69.9%-260
Bovada		F
Los Angeles Sparks30.1%235
Fanduel		A
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 7:41 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Dodgers64.2%-190
Betonline.ag		C
San Diego Padres35.8%180
BetRivers		A-
WNBA - Jun 27, 2026 8:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Dream71.6%-285
DraftKings		F
Seattle Storm28.4%250
BetRivers		B
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 8:06 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Atlanta Braves45.6%116
BetUS		C
San Francisco Giants54.4%-125
Fanatics		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 8:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ariane Lipski53.1%-122
Fanduel		C
Jena Bishop46.9%105
Betonline.ag		C
MLB - Jun 27, 2026 8:39 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Athletics49.2%-101
Betonline.ag		C
Los Angeles Angels50.8%-109
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 8:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Joshua Weems5.7%1600
Betonline.ag		B
Khasan Magomedsharipov94.3%-4000
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Islam Makhachev74.3%-335
Betonline.ag		F
Michael Morales25.7%275
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Mackenzie Dern21.4%350
Betonline.ag		C
Weili Zhang78.6%-450
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ciryl Gane50.0%-110
Betonline.ag		F
Tom Aspinall50.0%-110
Betonline.ag		F
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexandre Pantoja61.4%-175
Betonline.ag		F
Joshua Van38.6%150
Betonline.ag		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Merab Dvalishvili38.6%150
Betonline.ag		C
Petr Yan61.4%-175
Betonline.ag		F
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Argentina83.8%-635
Betonline.ag		F
Jordan5.3%2000
BetRivers		A
Draw10.9%850
BetRivers		A
FIFA World Cup - Jun 27, 2026 9:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Algeria24.9%295
Betonline.ag		B
Austria28.7%255
Bovada		A
Draw46.5%110
Fanatics		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Abraham Bably62.1%-165
Betonline.ag		B
Rob Wilkinson37.9%166
Fanduel		A
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 9:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alexander Shabliy81.0%-550
Betonline.ag		F
Alfie Davis19.0%410
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 10:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Liz Carmouche62.9%-180
Betonline.ag		C
Viviane Araujo37.1%164
Fanduel		C
MMA - Jun 27, 2026 10:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
AJ McKee56.0%-136
Fanduel		C
Salamat Isbulaev44.0%122
Betonline.ag		C