Matt's Bets aggregates sportsbook betting lines to calculate up-to-date probabilities of the outcome of sporting events and track those probabilities over time. These probabilities, derived from the "wisdom of the crowd," likely provide a more accurate estimate than a single model or the lines from an individual sportsbook.

These probabilities are used to identify and grade the quality of sportsbook betting lines. An "A" grade means that, given the probability for that outcome, the betting line may theoretically be a "good" bet that is profitable in the long run.

Click on an event to learn more.

Big Probability Changes:

NFL - Jan 4, 2026 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Denver Broncos85.4%-750
BetMGM		F
Los Angeles Chargers14.6%600
MyBookie		A
NFL - Jan 4, 2026 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Miami Dolphins17.8%480
Fanduel		A
New England Patriots82.2%-550
Lowvig		F
NCAAF - Jan 2, 2026 3:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Cincinnati Bearcats28.2%260
Fanduel		A
Navy Midshipmen71.8%-290
DraftKings		F
NFL - Jan 4, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Green Bay Packers25.7%290
Fanduel		A-
Minnesota Vikings74.3%-330
Bovada		F
NFL - Jan 4, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Jacksonville Jaguars84.5%-670
BetUS		F
Tennessee Titans15.5%590
Fanduel		A+
NFL - Jan 4, 2026 3:25 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Arizona Cardinals26.4%280
Fanduel		A-
Los Angeles Rams73.6%-310
BetUS		F
NFL - Jan 4, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Houston Texans81.9%-550
Betonline.ag		F
Indianapolis Colts18.1%455
DraftKings		A-
NFL - Jan 3, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
San Francisco 49ers47.5%105
BetUS		C
Seattle Seahawks52.5%-118
Fanduel		C
NFL - Jan 4, 2026 12:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Cowboys63.5%-185
BetMGM		C
New York Giants36.5%174
Lowvig		B
NFL - Jan 3, 2026 3:30 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carolina Panthers43.2%125
BetUS		C
Tampa Bay Buccaneers56.8%-142
DraftKings		C

Upcoming Events Today:

NCAAF - Jan 1, 2026 11:00 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Oregon Ducks55.2%-134
Fanduel		F
Texas Tech Red Raiders44.8%118
Lowvig		C
EPL - Jan 1, 2026 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Leeds United16.3%505
Lowvig		B
Liverpool61.4%-175
BetMGM		F
Draw22.3%335
Lowvig		C
EPL - Jan 1, 2026 11:30 AM
ProbabilityBest Line
Crystal Palace44.6%116
Lowvig		C
Fulham26.7%263
Lowvig		C
Draw28.7%240
Fanduel		C
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 12:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Ottawa Senators56.6%-140
Ceasers		C
Washington Capitals43.4%125
Bovada		C
EPL - Jan 1, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Manchester City67.2%-235
Lowvig		F
Sunderland12.9%650
Fanduel		B
Draw19.9%397
Lowvig		B
EPL - Jan 1, 2026 2:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brentford40.7%138
Lowvig		C
Tottenham Hotspur32.1%201
BetUS		C
Draw27.2%260
Lowvig		C
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 2:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
New York Islanders52.3%-114
Fanduel		C
Utah Mammoth47.7%106
MyBookie		C
NCAAF - Jan 1, 2026 3:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Alabama Crimson Tide31.4%215
Fanduel		B
Indiana Hoosiers68.6%-240
Bovada		C
NBA - Jan 1, 2026 5:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Brooklyn Nets20.9%375
Bovada		B
Houston Rockets79.1%-444
Lowvig		F
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Toronto Maple Leafs56.3%-138
Lowvig		C
Winnipeg Jets43.7%124
DraftKings		C
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Kings54.1%-125
Lowvig		C
Tampa Bay Lightning45.9%115
Fanduel		C
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Red Wings46.2%110
DraftKings		C
Pittsburgh Penguins53.8%-124
BetRivers		C
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Carolina Hurricanes63.6%-190
BetMGM		C
Montréal Canadiens36.4%170
BetRivers		C
NBA - Jan 1, 2026 6:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Detroit Pistons64.5%-192
DraftKings		C
Miami Heat35.5%179
Lowvig		B
NCAAF - Jan 1, 2026 7:00 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Georgia Bulldogs67.9%-230
BetUS		C
Ole Miss Rebels32.1%205
DraftKings		C
NBA - Jan 1, 2026 7:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Dallas Mavericks48.4%105
BetMGM		B
Philadelphia 76ers51.6%-112
Fanduel		C
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 7:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Chicago Blackhawks37.4%165
BetRivers		B
Dallas Stars62.6%-175
BetUS		C
NBA - Jan 1, 2026 9:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Boston Celtics77.0%-395
Lowvig		F
Sacramento Kings23.0%321
Lowvig		C
NHL - Jan 1, 2026 9:10 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Nashville Predators49.3%-104
BetRivers		C
Seattle Kraken50.7%-110
Fanduel		C
NBA - Jan 1, 2026 9:40 PM
ProbabilityBest Line
Los Angeles Clippers81.7%-500
BetRivers		C
Utah Jazz18.3%450
Fanatics		A-